And the results were… 😳

Rubio, serving as Secretary of State, may be able to position himself more independently. His foreign policy focus could allow him to appeal to voters looking for experience without direct association with domestic controversies.

The model slightly favors Vance at this stage, largely due to incumbency advantage and name recognition. However, it notes that shifts in approval or party dynamics could quickly change the picture.

A key variable is Donald Trump’s continued influence. The simulation suggests his endorsement could strongly shape the Republican primary, given his ongoing sway over a large segment of voters.

If Trump’s popularity declines, the model suggests that candidates less closely tied to him—potentially Rubio—could gain ground. This highlights how internal party dynamics may be as important as public polling.

On the Democratic side, Gavin Newsom is identified as a leading potential nominee. The projection suggests he could position himself as a unifying figure within the party.

In its scenario, the simulation ultimately leans toward a narrow win for Newsom, citing voter desire for change after prolonged political tension.

Still, the broader conclusion is that such forecasts are not fixed outcomes. They depend heavily on future events that cannot be fully predicted.

As a result, the projection is best understood as a snapshot of possible paths rather than a reliable forecast.